文献速递产检与胎儿影像

双胎输血综合征胎儿镜激光消融术后6个月生存率的术前预测因素

Pre‐Procedure Predictors of Six‐Month Survival After Fetoscopic Laser Ablation for Twin–Twin Transfusion Syndrome (TTTS): Retrospective Observational Study
RSS 订阅 · BJOG · 2026-09-03

结果显示65.2%妊娠获得双胎存活,23.9%为单胎存活,11%为双胎死亡。宫颈长度≤15 mm、干预时孕周较早及供血儿脐动脉多普勒血流异常是双胎死亡的独立预测因素。

要点

  • 宫颈长度≤15 mm是术后双胎死亡的显著预测因素(AOR 6.1,95% CI 2.7–14.1)。
  • 供血儿脐动脉多普勒血流异常增加双胎死亡风险(AOR 5.1,95% CI 1.7–15.6)。
  • 干预时孕周每提前一周,双胎死亡风险增加(AOR 1.2,95% CI 1.1–1.3)。

核心结论

  • 宫颈长度≤15 mm、供血儿脐动脉多普勒波形异常及干预时孕周较早是胎儿镜激光消融术后6个月生存率的显著预测因素。

研究设计与样本

  • 最终纳入915例胎儿镜检查,采用多变量逻辑回归分析单胎和双胎存活的预测因素。

主要发现

  • 915例胎儿镜中,597例妊娠(65.2%)获得双胎存活,217例(23.9%)为单胎存活,101例(11%)为双胎死亡。
  • 25年研究期间,单胎存活率(p=0.03)和双胎存活率(p=0.0004)均显著改善。
  • 宫颈长度≤15 mm的调整比值比为6.1(95% CI 2.7–14.1),供血儿脐动脉多普勒血流异常的调整比值比为5.1(95% CI 1.7–15.6)。
  • 干预时孕周每提前一周,双胎死亡的调整比值比为1.2(95% CI 1.1–1.3)。

关键数值与推荐

  • 双胎死亡与一或两个存活者相比的三个术前预测因素:宫颈长度≤15 mm(AOR 6.1,95% CI 2.7–14.1)。
  • 干预时孕周较早(AOR 1.2每提前一周,95% CI 1.1–1.3)。
  • 供血儿脐动脉多普勒血流异常(AOR 5.1,95% CI 1.7–15.6)。
  • 基于该模型的预测计算器曲线下面积为0.65。

临床怎么用

  • 术前咨询时应重点关注宫颈长度、供血儿脐动脉多普勒血流及干预时孕周,以评估胎儿镜激光消融术后6个月生存概率。

以上解读依据论文摘要(全文未开放获取或许可不允许翻译转载)。

原文

ABSTRACT Objective To determine pre-procedure maternal, pregnancy and fetal factors associated with survival until 6 months of age and evaluate temporal trends in survival outcomes over a 25-year period following fetoscopic laser ablation (FLA) of placental anastomoses in monochorionic twin pregnancies with twin–twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS). Design Retrospective observational study. Settings A tertiary care fetal centre in Canada. Population or Sample One thousand and five patients undergoing TTTS between 1998 and 2023. Methods Patient demographics, pregnancy, procedural and outcome details were collected. Predictors for single and dual survival were identified using multivariable logistic regression. Temporal trends in survival outcomes across the study period were also examined. Main Outcome Measures Fetal/neonatal survival at 6 months and predictors for single and dual survival. Results Of 915 included fetoscopies, 597 pregnancies (65.2%) achieved dual survival, 217 (23.9%) had a single survivor, and 101 (11%) resulted in dual demise. Survival rates improved significantly over the 25-year study period for both single and dual survival (p = 0.03 and p = 0.0004, respectively). Three significant pre-procedural predictors of dual demise versus one or two survivors were: cervical length ≤ 15 mm (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 6.1, 95% CI 2.7–14.1), earlier gestational age (GA) at intervention (AOR 1.2 per earlier week, 95% CI 1.1–1.3), and abnormal donor umbilical artery Doppler flow (AOR 5.1, 95% CI 1.7–15.6). A prediction calculator using this model achieved an area under the curve of 0.65. Conclusion Short cervical length (≤ 15 mm), presence of abnormal donor umbilical artery Doppler waveform, and early GA at time of intervention are significant predictors of fetal/neonatal survival at 6 months following FLA in TTTS and thus, are valuable parameters to consider for pre-procedural counselling.

来源:BJOG,查看原文。版权归原作者所有。

引用

  1. BJOG:Pre‐Procedure Predictors of Six‐Month Survival After Fetoscopic Laser Ablation for Twin–Twin Transfusion Syndrome (TTTS): Retrospective Observational Study

供执业医师工作参考,不替代临床判断;数值与分级以指南原文为准。