帕博利珠单抗联合放化疗治疗FIGO 2014 III-IVA期宫颈癌的成本效果分析
本研究从美国支付方视角,基于KEYNOTE-A18试验数据构建状态转移模型,评估帕博利珠单抗联合放化疗对比单纯放化疗治疗FIGO 2014 III-IVA期宫颈癌的成本效果。结果显示联合方案可增加1.87生命年和1.60质量调整生命年,增量成本为157,681美元,增量成本效果比为98,292美元/QALY,在150,000美元/QALY的支付意愿阈值下有90%的概率具有成本效果。
要点
- 帕博利珠单抗联合放化疗较单纯放化疗增加1.60 QALY,增量成本157,681美元。
- 增量成本效果比为98,292美元/QALY,低于150,000美元/QALY的支付意愿阈值。
- 概率敏感性分析显示在150,000美元/QALY阈值下具有成本效果的概率为90%。
核心结论
- 帕博利珠单抗联合放化疗较单纯放化疗具有显著临床获益,在150,000美元/QALY支付意愿阈值下具有成本效果。
研究设计与样本
- 基于KEYNOTE-A18试验患者水平数据构建状态转移队列模型,包含无进展、第一次进展、第二次进展和死亡四个健康状态,从美国支付方视角进行终身模拟,成本年贴现率3%。
主要发现
- 联合方案预计增加1.87生命年和1.60质量调整生命年,增量成本为157,681美元,增量成本效果比为98,292美元/QALY。
- 概率敏感性分析中,在150,000美元/QALY支付意愿阈值下联合方案具有成本效果的概率为90%。
关键数值与推荐
- 增量成本效果比为98,292美元/QALY;支付意愿阈值为150,000美元/QALY时具有成本效果的概率为90%。
临床怎么用
- 对于FIGO 2014 III-IVA期宫颈癌患者,帕博利珠单抗联合放化疗可作为具有成本效果的治疗选择。
以上解读依据论文摘要(全文未开放获取或许可不允许翻译转载)。
原文
OBJECTIVES: The FDA approved pembrolizumab in combination with chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for treating patients with FIGO 2014 Stage III-IVA cervical cancer in January 2024. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab plus CRT versus CRT alone in this patient population from a US payer perspective. METHODS: A state-transition cohort model was developed with four health states: progression-free, first progression, second progression, and death. Time-dependent transition probabilities were derived from parametric survival analyses of patient-level data (from the final analysis of the KEYNOTE-A18 trial. Projections for endpoints after first progression were adjusted by expected pembrolizumab utilization in recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer in US clinical practice. Adverse event rates and utility values were based on KEYNOTE-A18. Costs were sourced from Analysource, national statistics, and literature. Outcomes were discounted at 3% annually over patients' lifetime. Parameter and structural uncertainty were assessed through deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Patients receiving pembrolizumab plus CRT were projected to gain 1.87 life years (LYs) and 1.60 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incur incremental costs of $157,681 compared with CRT alone, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $98,292/QALY. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, pembrolizumab plus CRT has a 90% chance of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000/QALY. CONCLUSIONS: Pembrolizumab plus CRT offers substantial clinical benefits over treatment with CRT alone and is projected to be cost-effective at a WTP threshold of $150,000. Pembrolizumab plus CRT is a much-needed additional treatment option for patients with FIGO 2014 Stage III-IVA cervical cancer in the US.
引用
- Brand-Wiita S, Tsai CJ, Liu YH, et al. Cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab as a treatment for FIGO 2014 stage III-IVA cervical cancer in the United States. Gynecol Oncol. 2026. PMID: 42150374. doi:10.1016/j.ygyno.2026.05.001
供执业医师工作参考,不替代临床判断;数值与分级以指南原文为准。