症状与生活质量问卷预测浅表腹膜型子宫内膜异位症的多中心巢式病例对照研究
本研究在奥地利、德国和瑞士18个认证中心开展多中心巢式病例对照研究,纳入229例首次手术疑似内异症且检查与影像阴性的女性,评估症状和生活质量问卷对浅表腹膜型内异症(SPE)的预测价值。严重痛经和疼痛持续>3年与SPE相关,但5项预测评分内部验证AUC 0.64,外部验证AUC 0.49无预测价值。结论提示症状模型不足以可靠识别SPE。
要点
- 严重痛经(OR 2.01)和疼痛持续>3年(OR 2.40)与SPE显著相关。
- 5项预测评分内部验证AUC 0.64,外部验证AUC 0.49无预测价值。
- 症状问卷不足以可靠识别SPE,需结合生物标志物或新兴诊断技术。
核心结论
- 严重痛经和长症状持续时间与SPE相关,但症状谱和功能问卷不足以准确预测SPE。
- 预测评分内部表现中等但外部验证失败,症状模型不足以可靠识别SPE。
- 临床医生和患者应知晓腹腔镜手术阴性发现率高,需权衡手术与保守药物治疗。
研究设计与样本
- 多中心巢式病例对照研究,2022年9月至2024年1月在奥地利、德国和瑞士18个认证内异症中心开展。
- 全研究队列845例女性中,229例符合纳入标准、完成所有问卷且有完整手术数据:121例(53%)仅SPE,108例(47%)无内异症。
- 验证队列268例(206例[77%]SPE,62例[23%]无内异症)。
- 采用多重插补、逻辑回归和受试者工作特征曲线分析。
主要发现
- 严重痛经与SPE显著相关(OR 2.01;95% CI,1.14-3.53)。
- 疼痛持续时间>3年与SPE显著相关(OR 2.40;95% CI,1.40-4.11)。
- 性交痛、排尿痛、排便痛、仅经期疼痛、止痛药使用、家族史、健康相关生活质量和性功能与SPE无显著关联。
- 5项预测评分(最高6分)在开发队列中区分度中等(AUC 0.64;95% CI,0.57-0.72),内部验证表现相似(AUC 0.64;95% CI,0.57-0.71)。
- 外部验证显示无预测价值(AUC 0.49;95% CI,0.41-0.58)。
关键数值与推荐
- 严重痛经OR 2.01(95% CI,1.14-3.53)。
- 疼痛持续时间>3年OR 2.40(95% CI,1.40-4.11)。
- 5项预测评分最高6分。
- 开发队列AUC 0.64(95% CI,0.57-0.72),内部验证AUC 0.64(95% CI,0.57-0.71),外部验证AUC 0.49(95% CI,0.41-0.58)。
临床怎么用
- 对检查与影像阴性的疑似内异症女性,不应仅凭症状问卷预测SPE。
- 决策腹腔镜手术与保守药物治疗时,应告知患者手术阴性发现率高。
- 症状模型需结合生物标志物或新兴诊断技术以提高无创诊断准确性。
局限性
- 外部验证队列中SPE比例(77%)与开发队列(53%)不同。
- 预测评分外部验证无预测价值,提示模型泛化能力有限。
- 仅纳入孤立性腹膜型内异症或无内异症女性,结果可能不适用于其他类型内异症。
以上解读依据论文摘要(全文未开放获取或许可不允许翻译转载)。
原文
OBJECTIVE: To develop a predictive risk score for superficial peritoneal endometriosis (SPE) in patients with negative examination and imaging, based on symptoms and quality of life measures. DESIGN: Multicenter nested case-control study conducted from September 2022 to January 2024 at 18 certified endometriosis centers in Austria, Germany, and Switzerland. Women undergoing first-time surgery for suspected endometriosis had surgical findings documented using the #ENZIAN classification. Only women with isolated peritoneal endometriosis or no endometriosis were included in this analysis. Subjects completed standardized preoperative questionnaires, which assessed pain characteristics, symptom duration, analgesic intake, sexual function (FSFI), and health-related quality of life (EHP-30). Multiple imputation, logistic regression, and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were performed. SUBJECTS: Of 845 women in the full study cohort, 229 met inclusion criteria, completed all questionnaires, and had complete surgical data available: 121 (53%) had SPE only, and 108 (47%) had no endometriosis. A validation cohort of 268 subjects (206 [77%] SPE and 62 [23%] no endometriosis) was analyzed. EXPOSURE: Pain-related variables, internally validated by bootstrapping, and externally validated in an independent cohort. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Surgically diagnosed peritoneal endometriosis RESULTS: Severe dysmenorrhea (odds ratio [OR] 2.01; 95% CI, 1.14-3.53) and pain duration >3 years (OR 2.40; 95% CI, 1.40-4.11) were significantly associated with SPE. Dyspareunia, dysuria, dyschezia, pain only during menses, analgesic intake, family history, health-related quality of life, and sexual function were not. A 5-item predictive score (maximum six points) showed moderate discrimination in the development cohort (area under the curve [AUC] 0.64; 95% CI, 0.57-0.72), with similar performance on internal validation (AUC 0.64; 95% CI, 0.57-0.71). External validation demonstrated no predictive value (AUC 0.49; 95% CI, 0.41-0.58). CONCLUSION: Although severe dysmenorrhea and long duration of symptoms were associated with SPE, symptom profiles and functional questionnaires were insufficient for accurate prediction. The calculated score performed modestly internally but failed external validation. Given that symptoms common to endometriosis are also reported in women with other etiologies of pelvic pain, symptom-based models appear inadequate for reliable identification of SPE. Integrating clinical factors with biomarkers or emerging diagnostic technologies may be necessary to improve noninvasive diagnostic accuracy. Clinicians and patients should be aware of the high rate of negative surgical findings when making the decision to proceed with laparoscopy versus considering conservative medical therapies instead.
引用
- Reiser E, Tschiderer L, Buchweitz O, et al. Predicting superficial peritoneal endometriosis in symptomatic women with negative examination and imaging. Fertil Steril. 2026. PMID: 42155918. doi:10.1016/j.fertnstert.2026.05.152
供执业医师工作参考,不替代临床判断;数值与分级以指南原文为准。