科研动态期刊摘要
[通信] 超级厄尔尼诺事件威胁非洲公共卫生紧急事件
The Lancet Online First · 2026-10-28
摘要
非洲正处于厄尔尼诺驱动的公共卫生紧急事件的边缘，与此同时，气候变得越来越不可预测且极端。未来几个月，非洲预计因高温导致的死亡人数将远超2026年夏季北半球的人数。1,2 同样令人担忧的是，非洲之角和中非地区洪水风险加剧，南部非洲干旱频发，以及萨赫勒地区降雨异常。3,4 多重危害叠加，集中于水不安全、野火、传染病暴发以及医疗保健服务中断等问题。
English
[Correspondence] Super El Niño threatens a public health emergency in Africa
Africa stands on the cusp of an El Niño-driven public health emergency, superimposed on an increasingly unpredictable and extreme climate. The projected toll of heat-related deaths in Africa in the coming months will dwarf that in the northern hemisphere during the summer of 2026.1,2 Equally concerning are heightened risks for floods in the Greater Horn and Central Africa, droughts in southern Africa, and rainfall anomalies across the Sahel.3,4 Compounding hazards converge around water insecurity, wildfires, infectious disease outbreaks, and disrupted health care.