六项气候与健康行动每年可挽救160万人的生命,并带来数万亿的效益
正文 · 中文译文
世界卫生组织(WHO)今日发布的一份新报告指出,六项经证实有效的气候与健康措施每年可挽救160万人的生命,同时带来数万亿美元的经济和财政收益。 在全球范围内扩大这些措施的规模,从高温健康预警系统、气候韧性水、环境卫生和个人卫生,到清洁家庭能源和高效的化石燃料定价政策,每年可产生3.9万亿美元的经济福利效益,同时还有助于减少碳排放。这些措施每年还可额外带来5.4万亿美元的财政收益。 这份名为《气候变化与健康优先行动在全球范围内的效益与成本》的报告,是首份对扩大实施六项WHO推荐行动所带来的经济和财政回报进行的全面分析。综合来看,研究结果揭示了这些气候行动的三重红利:更健康的人群、更低的排放和更强的经济。 “气候危机就是健康危机,但它造成的许多危害可以通过我们已有的工具加以预防,”WHO总干事谭德塞博士表示。“这份报告表明,扩大经证实且可负担的行动规模可以挽救数百万人的生命,而需求最迫切的国家将获得最大收益。在各国政府筹备下一轮气候谈判之际,保护健康必须成为气候行动的核心。” 该报告在COP31召开前发布,预计各国政府将在会上分享其气候承诺。报告强调,气候变化对健康的许多影响是可以通过当今已有的解决方案加以预防的。但这些解决方案必须在卫生及决定健康的各部门中予以实施,以帮助预见、预防、防范和减少与气候相关的健康风险。 报告估计,在全球范围内扩大六项行动每年可 prevention 160万例死亡——相当于每40例死亡中有1例,基于模型预测。这六项行动包括:高温健康预警系统;气候韧性饮水服务;基本环境卫生服务;个人卫生和洗手设施;用于烹饪和取暖的更清洁家庭燃料和技术;以及有效的化石燃料定价政策。这些行动还可帮助避免167亿吨二氧化碳排放,相当于全球年度温室气体排放量(不包括土地利用、土地利用变化和林业)的31%。 在这六项行动中,有五项的估计结果是每投资1美元可产生24美元的效益。据估计,中低收入国家的效益更大,有助于减少健康和经济不平等。 高温健康预警系统将是所评估的最具成本效益的措施之一,估计每投资1美元可获得835美元的回报,这反映出其能够利用现有系统并以相对较低的成本预防与高温相关的疾病。 高效的化石燃料定价政策,包括取消低效补贴和对这些燃料适当征税,将产生最大的收益。据估计,这些政策每年可预防120万例死亡,并产生3万亿美元的经济福利效益和5.4万亿美元的财政效益。 2026年,世界各国正面临破纪录的气候冲击。保护人类和地球免受气候变化影响是我们这个时代最具决定性的挑战之一。世界卫生组织呼吁各国政府、发展伙伴和融资机构依据这些经济证据采取行动,并投资于这些经过验证的、对健康、气候和经济均有益的措施。 致编辑的说明 世界卫生组织报告量化了全球范围内扩大六项优先气候—健康干预措施的健康影响(主要是死亡率变化)、环境影响(在有证据的情况下,重点关注温室气体排放变化)、经济影响(包括生产力和效率变化)以及财政影响(即政府收入变化)。随后,报告将这些量化影响货币化为经济福利效益(健康、环境和经济影响的货币价值)和财政效益(财政影响的价值)。 在可行的情况下,随后计算实施成本和投资回报。世界卫生组织(WHO)估算了2024–2075年扩大干预措施的覆盖范围、影响、效益和成本,比较了扩大规模和不扩大规模两种情景。优先干预措施选自世卫组织和联合国指南,采用统计模型进行评估,这些模型依据了近期的证据综合和数据集,以支持投资论证。局限性包括扩大规模情景的理想化设定、部分干预措施的非协同建模、仍然有限的证据基础以及长期预测中的不确定性。 关于世界卫生组织 世卫组织致力于增进所有人的健康福祉,以科学为指导,领导和倡导全球努力,让世界各地的每个人都享有平等机会过上安全健康的生活。我们是联合国的卫生机构,在150多个地点连接各国、合作伙伴和人民——引领全球应对突发卫生事件、预防疾病、解决健康问题的根本原因并扩大药物和卫生保健的可及性。我们的使命是支持所有国家促进、提供和保护健康。“携手为健康。与科学站在一起”,这是2026年世界卫生日的主题,标志着为期一年的运动,强调科学是保护全球健康与福祉的基础。
正文 · 英文原文
Six proven climate and health measures could save 1.6 million lives a year while delivering trillions of dollars in economic and fiscal gains, according to a new World Health Organization (WHO) report released today. Scaling up these measures globally, from heat-health warning systems and climate-resilient water, sanitation and hygiene to clean household energy and efficient fossil fuel pricing policies, could generate US$ 3.9 trillion in economic welfare benefits annually, while also helping to cut carbon emissions. They could deliver a further US$ 5.4 trillion a year in fiscal benefits. The report, Global benefits and costs of prioritized actions on climate change and health, is the first comprehensive analysis of the economic and fiscal returns from taking six WHO-recommended actions to scale. Together, the findings point to a triple dividend from these climate actions: healthier people, lower emissions, and stronger economies. “The climate crisis is a health crisis, but much of the harm it causes can be prevented with tools we already have,” said Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO Director-General. “This report shows that scaling up proven, affordable actions could save millions of lives, with the greatest gains in the countries that need them most. As governments prepare for the next round of climate negotiations, protecting health must be at the centre of climate action.” Released ahead of COP31, where governments are expected to share their climate commitments, the report underscores that many health impacts of climate change are preventable with solutions available today. But these solutions must be implemented across health and health-determining sectors to help anticipate, prevent, prepare for and reduce climate-related health risks. The report estimates that scaling up the six actions globally could prevent 1.6 million deaths annually – equivalent to one in every 40 deaths, based on modelled projections. The six actions include: heat-health warning systems; climate-resilient drinking-water services; basic sanitation services; hygiene and handwashing facilities; cleaner household fuels and technologies for cooking and heating; and efficient fossil fuel pricing policies. The actions could also help avoid 16.7 billion tonnes of CO₂ emissions, equivalent to 31% of global annual greenhouse gas emissions excluding land use, land use change and forestry. Across five of the actions, every US$ 1 invested is estimated to yield US$ 24 in benefits. Benefits are estimated to be greater in low- and middle-income countries, helping reduce health and economic inequalities. Heat-health warning systems would be among the most cost-beneficial measures assessed, with an estimated return of US$ 835 for every US$ 1 invested, reflecting their ability to leverage existing systems and prevent heat-related illnesses at relatively low cost. Efficient fossil fuel pricing policies, including removing inefficient subsidies and appropriately taxing these fuels, would generate the largest gains. These policies are estimated to prevent 1.2 million deaths and generate US$ 3 trillion in economic welfare benefits and US$ 5.4 trillion in fiscal benefits annually. In 2026, countries around the world are facing record-breaking climate shocks. Protecting people and the planet from the impacts of climate change is one of the defining challenges of our time. WHO calls on governments, development partners, and financing institutions to act on this economic evidence and invest in these proven actions for health, climate and economies. Note to editors The WHO report quantifies health impacts (primarily changes in mortality), environmental impacts (where evidence permits, focusing on changes in greenhouse gas emissions), economic impacts (including changes in productivity and efficiency), and fiscal impacts (namely changes in government revenue) for global scale‑up of six prioritized climate–health interventions. It then monetizes these quantified impacts into economic welfare benefits (the monetary values of the health, environmental and economic impacts) and fiscal benefits (the value of fiscal impacts). Where feasible implementation costs are then calculated and the return on investment. WHO estimated expanded intervention coverage, impacts, benefits, and costs for 2024–2075, comparing scaled‑up and no‑scale‑up scenarios. Priority interventions, selected from WHO and UN guidance, were assessed using statistical models informed by recent evidence syntheses and datasets to support the case for investment. Limitations include the aspirational scale‑up scenarios, non‑synergistic modelling of some interventions, the still limited evidence bases, and uncertainties in long‑term projections. About WHO Dedicated to the well-being of all people and guided by science, WHO leads and champions global efforts to give everyone, everywhere, an equal chance at a safe and healthy life. We are the United Nations’ agency for health that connects nations, partners and people in more than 150 locations – leading the world’s response to health emergencies, preventing disease, addressing the root causes of health issues and expanding access to medicines and health care. Our mission is to support all countries to promote, provide and protect health. “Together for health. Stand with science”, the theme of World Health Day 2026, marks a year-long campaign to highlight science as the foundation for protecting health and well-being worldwide.